Friday, September 28, 2018

Published 10:45 PM by with 0 comment

How Do I Convert An Election Poll Into A Win Probability

You normally see polls as something like 51% candidate A, 47% candidate B, and 2% other. How do you estimate a win probability from that?
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Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Published 6:18 PM by with 0 comment

Understanding Half-Life

The rate at which radioactive atoms decay can be given as the 'half-life' and I've run into a couple of misconceptions around that so I tried simulating it.
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Tuesday, September 4, 2018

Published 9:02 PM by with 0 comment

I Fell Prey To Selection Bias

These things are sneaky and I got caught in one that I feel is worth typing up...
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